o71xsnic8hu6
0x4ef8f40587e6d48cdb5b52a9dd08ccb476c859fd
- Realised P&L
- $-48.14
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.195 | $1.19 | +$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.34at 0.320Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?
- +$1.00at 0.220Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.320Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of February?
- +$-0.00at 0.132Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 28?
- +$-0.06at 0.060Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 08:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 02-28 08:23 | Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0349999698 | $1.10 |
| 02-28 08:23 | Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0293892874 | $1.10 |
| 02-28 08:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1459013875 | $1.10 |
| 02-27 21:11 | Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.15 |
| 02-27 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 28? | SELL | 0.124 | $0.18 |
| 02-27 20:09 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.10 |
| 02-27 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 28? | SELL | 0.123 | $0.18 |
| 02-27 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 28? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.18 |
| 02-27 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 28? | SELL | 0.117 | $0.18 |
| 02-27 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 28? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.37 |
| 02-27 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 28? | BUY | 0.1319999011 | $1.10 |
| 02-27 16:28 | Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.057 | $0.72 |
| 02-27 11:48 | Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.00 |
| 02-27 09:13 | Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.01 |