0x4e96C0569Ad2EB24C6659043A673D7968e66032f-1747399851209
0x4e96c0569ad2eb24c6659043a673d7968e66032f
- Realised P&L
- $-973.59
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $112.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.985 | 0.980 | $51.91 | −$0.29 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.948 | $50.22 | −$1.51 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.971 | 0.940 | $10.61 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$770.00at 0.450Athletics vs. Astros
- +$768.00at 0.360Pirates vs. Cubs
- +$463.05at 0.650Pirates vs. Brewers
- +$362.06at 0.570Yankees vs. Rays
- +$2.75at 0.950Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 11:54 | Yankees vs. Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $479.94 |
| 08-11 13:13 | Pirates vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.65 | $859.95 |
| 07-24 13:13 | Athletics vs. Astros | BUY | 0.45 | $630.00 |
| 07-08 08:32 | Guardians vs. Astros | BUY | 0.66 | $1.2k |
| 05-27 13:27 | Stars vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.4 | $9.20 |
| 05-16 13:02 | Maple Leafs vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.68 | $660.28 |