BreadGet
0x4e56f1ddaa8f5328036c449b89e731ec748cdee1
- Realised P&L
- $145.3k
- Volume
- $12.89M
- Markets traded
- 433
- Open portfolio
- $19.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded433
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.405 | $18.8k | −$680.55 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.410 | 0.425 | $406.09 | +$14.33 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.535 | $271.66 | +$56.59 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.524 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$310.20 |
| Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? · No | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| US government shutdown by October 1? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$420.00 |
| Knicks vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.8k |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Pistons vs. Magic · Pistons | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.11 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.6k |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors · Cavaliers | 0.614 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Rams vs. Falcons · Rams | 0.497 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.61 |
| Texans vs. Patriots · Texans | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.1k |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets · Rockets | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$361.50 |
| Bills vs. Falcons · Bills | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.1kat 0.481Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$106.5kat 0.165Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$42.2kat 0.624Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$28.2kat 0.474Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$25.4kat 0.338Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 12:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.2k |
| 07-29 19:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.9k |
| 07-29 19:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 07-29 19:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.8k |
| 07-29 19:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 07-29 19:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.2k |
| 07-29 18:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3988808314 | $782.17 |
| 07-29 18:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.41 | $391.75 |
| 07-29 18:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $649.35 |
| 07-29 18:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $185.97 |
| 07-29 18:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3653662271 | $804.26 |
| 07-29 15:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7507812465 | $3.3k |
| 07-29 15:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7483316631 | $313.63 |
| 07-29 12:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7619748771 | $6.1k |
| 07-29 11:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7585721828 | $17.5k |