rufvkhkxbk
0x4e36b5bca9b32b281a7b8601b7a0d0755e96546c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $81.2k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $366.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.420 | 0.385 | $257.56 | −$23.41 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.748 | 0.740 | $78.23 | −$0.94 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.353 | 0.150 | $30.25 | −$40.70 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.13 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.7k |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$240.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.39 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$378.00 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals · Kansas City Royals | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.640Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$176.14at 0.546Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$120.00at 0.600Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$72.00at 0.880Grizzlies vs. Rockets
- +$54.00at 0.460San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 00:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7484299083 | $79.18 |
| 06-21 11:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 06-21 11:44 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.4k |
| 06-12 08:05 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 06-09 00:40 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 05-22 10:57 | Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.55 | $137.49 |
| 05-17 02:13 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.353 | $41.49 |
| 05-12 11:43 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.782 | $78.98 |
| 05-07 00:57 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | BUY | 0.522 | $52.20 |
| 05-04 01:49 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.90 |
| 04-29 01:14 | Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.999 | $110.89 |
| 04-25 12:17 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $508.88 |
| 04-25 00:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $572.44 |
| 04-24 16:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $388.11 |
| 04-24 16:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.6k |