bigmoneychristian
0x4e1c9828390fd7266ef37724b839cdbd2c0e8d4d
- Realised P&L
- $-136.87
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.47at 0.336Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$19.82at 0.361Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
- +$1.27at 0.327Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
- +$0.26at 0.630US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.640Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:02 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.3699999808 | $10.80 |
| 06-28 00:01 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.10 |
| 06-27 22:24 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2399999752 | $5.80 |
| 06-27 22:23 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 13:24 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999867 | $11.10 |
| 06-26 13:23 | Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.39 | $11.63 |
| 06-25 23:50 | Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.0555346472 | $8.25 |
| 06-25 23:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.35 |
| 06-23 22:41 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199999813 | $9.00 |
| 06-23 22:37 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 22:34 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 06-22 11:44 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999904 | $17.00 |
| 06-22 11:42 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $57.07 |
| 06-22 08:51 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3463157672 | $9.40 |
| 06-22 08:51 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | SELL | 0.56 | $9.56 |