PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4dd83e7768353F3a2271cE4Ee16b596236189B58-1761955905851

0x4dd83e7768353f3a2271ce4ee16b596236189b58

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$150.9k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.8490.979$589.35+$78.05
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.8800.875$550.91$3.15
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0870.091$105.10+$5.10
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.004$90.00$10.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0520.035$66.56$33.44
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$99.90
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.8540.000$0.00$300.00
Will Chile win Miss Universe 2025? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$100.00
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? · No0.4190.000$0.00$100.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? · No0.1260.000$0.00$300.00
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? · No0.0230.000$0.00$10.00
Will Colombia win Miss Universe 2025? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$20.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00$500.00
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes0.6560.000$0.00$965.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 00:47Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?BUY0.8799999987$554.06
07-30 23:15Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.6211781793$565.19
07-30 01:34Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.848915321$511.30
07-30 01:23Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.1099055901$100.00
07-23 00:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7699999999$475.48
07-21 00:37Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0518304931$100.00
07-21 00:37Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0870584351$100.00
07-21 00:35Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$100.00
07-14 19:27Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2552009512$106.78
07-14 19:27Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6156571913$580.44
07-12 15:35Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.7599999994$94.03
07-12 15:34Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.188$97.92
07-04 03:23Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6150042984$579.83
06-27 22:03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2389999987$100.00
06-27 22:02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1919999986$100.00