0x4dd83e7768353F3a2271cE4Ee16b596236189B58-1761955905851
0x4dd83e7768353f3a2271ce4ee16b596236189b58
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $150.9k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.607Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$465.19at 0.110Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$361.44at 0.725US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
- +$352.66at 0.656US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
- +$343.50at 0.673Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 00:47 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8799999987 | $554.06 |
| 07-30 23:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.6211781793 | $565.19 |
| 07-30 01:34 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.848915321 | $511.30 |
| 07-30 01:23 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.1099055901 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 00:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $475.48 |
| 07-21 00:37 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0518304931 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 00:37 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0870584351 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 00:35 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 19:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2552009512 | $106.78 |
| 07-14 19:27 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6156571913 | $580.44 |
| 07-12 15:35 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.7599999994 | $94.03 |
| 07-12 15:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.188 | $97.92 |
| 07-04 03:23 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6150042984 | $579.83 |
| 06-27 22:03 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2389999987 | $100.00 |
| 06-27 22:02 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1919999986 | $100.00 |