PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

benjiames

0x4da3ac066c421e05ea27822136eacaca465d6547

Realised P&L
$51.71
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$523.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29? · Yes0.9991.000$500.50+$0.50
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9981.000$10.02+$0.02
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9500.884$9.31$0.69
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.230$1.69$3.31
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6900.835$1.21+$0.21
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0740.070$0.95$0.05
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0710.015$0.22$0.78
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0720.003$0.07$1.93
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$1.00
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.00
Will Meta reach $960 in November? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? · No0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above $410? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 03:00Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?BUY0.999$500.00
07-29 02:59GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.998$10.00
06-19 01:55Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?BUY0.997$5.00
06-19 01:55Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?BUY0.998$500.00
06-10 01:18Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
06-10 01:17Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
06-10 01:17Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10?BUY0.999$500.00
06-07 01:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?BUY0.998$530.00
05-27 01:10Citrea FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.998$488.00
05-25 00:45Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 24?BUY0.999$8.00
05-25 00:45Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 24?BUY0.9989999989$480.00
05-22 01:58Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?BUY0.999$487.00
05-21 01:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?BUY0.9989999989$486.00
05-20 02:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?BUY0.9989999973$267.00
05-20 02:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?BUY0.999$200.00