PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4d9c5e081fE1a6Cb02f616e7bE38B7748F7fF449-1768870851203

0x4d9c5e081fe1a6cb02f616e7be38b7748f7ff449

Realised P&L
$-73.75
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$28.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.1050.065$28.60$17.80
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00$81.00
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$15.60
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4430.000$0.00$13.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-30 18:57Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4433333333$13.30
05-30 13:01Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.55$35.20
05-16 23:10Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.999$99.90
04-09 06:48Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?SELL0.904$55.40
04-09 06:41Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?SELL0.911$79.48
03-27 00:12Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.08$4.13
03-08 00:31US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?SELL0.23$1.70
03-04 14:42Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.4299999871$4.85
01-26 19:29Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?SELL0.59$17.70
01-26 18:32Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?BUY0.61$12.20
01-23 23:25Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?SELL0.951$1.90
01-23 18:07Will Trump shake hands with Aleksandar Vučić at the World Economic Forum?SELL0.995$4.74
01-23 02:50Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?SELL0.962$1.50
01-22 23:17Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?BUY0.26$1.60
01-22 21:38Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?SELL0.17$0.81