dj80
0x4d963e123a5e5256680a4b78e3af06875c815131
- Realised P&L
- $-354.57
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $29.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.011 | $29.56 | −$20.44 |
| Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.87 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0194510808 | $50.00 |
| 08-09 04:21 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? | BUY | 0.0637975041 | $50.00 |
| 05-06 10:27 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0472859808 | $50.00 |
| 03-17 12:11 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0355991967 | $40.00 |
| 03-08 13:54 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0327543424 | $40.00 |
| 03-05 10:30 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | BUY | 0.0184855016 | $18.87 |
| 02-14 06:30 | Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0209999996 | $50.00 |
| 02-12 15:36 | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.1474661703 | $50.00 |
| 02-12 15:33 | Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | SELL | 0.0180417688 | $68.88 |
| 02-10 10:56 | Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.0259712205 | $99.15 |
| 02-08 02:54 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.0436500914 | $4.99 |