PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dj80

0x4d963e123a5e5256680a4b78e3af06875c815131

Realised P&L
$-354.57
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$29.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.011$29.56$20.44
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$50.00
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? · No0.0380.000$0.00$130.00
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$50.00
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$4.99
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$18.87
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$50.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 11:53Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0194510808$50.00
08-09 04:21Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?BUY0.0637975041$50.00
05-06 10:27Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0472859808$50.00
03-17 12:11Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0355991967$40.00
03-08 13:54Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0327543424$40.00
03-05 10:30Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?BUY0.0184855016$18.87
02-14 06:30Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0209999996$50.00
02-12 15:36Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.1474661703$50.00
02-12 15:33Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?SELL0.0180417688$68.88
02-10 10:56Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.0259712205$99.15
02-08 02:54Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.0436500914$4.99