PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4d745ea9dD3594f52EA1ab0073D03d45994D3b80-1764257678846

0x4d745ea9dd3594f52ea1ab0073d03d45994d3b80

Realised P&L
$553.79
Volume
$47.1k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$344.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0120.015$241.79+$40.87
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.032$64.58+$54.33
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0710.011$38.11$219.87
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverev0.3900.000$0.00$30.00
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$60.00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.70
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? · Yes0.7210.000$0.00$28.11
Maduro mugshot released by Monday? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$51.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 22:17Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.1$90.00
07-20 14:49Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.958$95.79
07-20 14:49Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.343$323.63
07-19 22:14Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.055$48.00
07-19 21:52Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$5.00
07-19 21:51Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$5.25
07-19 21:13Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.19$49.40
07-19 21:11Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.189$17.01
07-19 21:11Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.188$5.64
07-19 21:06Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.189$56.70
07-19 21:05Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.188$38.31
07-12 16:50Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$50.00
07-12 16:48Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$50.00
07-12 16:47Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.3899999967$30.00
07-12 14:21Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.27$569.70