PolyBot

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Traders

0x4d44fe165b941ee818c8306c43e1c7adf8c8997d

Realised P&L
$153.11
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$30.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 06:36Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?BUY0.4299999469$1.62
08-05 06:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?BUY0.2370647741$1.05
08-05 06:02Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.1699999368$1.83
08-05 05:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.4199999807$7.38
08-05 05:55Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.4099999625$4.04
08-05 05:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?BUY0.4099999072$1.06
08-05 04:36Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?BUY0.429999914$1.25
08-05 04:36Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 6?BUY0.3699998963$1.07
08-04 21:27Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4?SELL0.3745190563$4.13
08-04 21:21Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4?BUY0.4199998574$1.06
08-04 20:57Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.18$0.66
08-04 20:56Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4?SELL0.8283440308$12.91
08-04 20:35Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4?BUY0.4112197013$1.27
08-04 20:35Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4?BUY0.4299999371$3.76
08-04 20:25Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4?BUY0.4599999306$1.06