Sergio-Marquina
0x4cfd39f5c9fa0a5c6088547ab251c2f0cb305c91
- Realised P&L
- $-15.9k
- Volume
- $1.93M
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.419US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.100Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
- +$825.32at 0.186Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
- +$774.00at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$702.53at 0.142US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 09:35 | Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group B | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 07-30 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 07-30 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.22 |
| 07-30 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.63 |
| 07-30 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.01 |
| 07-30 16:37 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.031 | $2.91 |
| 07-30 16:36 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 07-30 16:33 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.67 |
| 07-30 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 07-30 14:18 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.03 | $0.93 |
| 07-30 12:15 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.24 | $993.69 |
| 07-29 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 17:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 07-29 16:36 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | SELL | 0.14 | $5.36 |
| 07-29 16:28 | Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | SELL | 0.24 | $49.20 |