PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sergio-Marquina

0x4cfd39f5c9fa0a5c6088547ab251c2f0cb305c91

Realised P&L
$-15.9k
Volume
$1.93M
Markets traded
519
Open portfolio
$2.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded519
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0300.007$2.01$6.52
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs · Bounty Hunters Esports0.0500.000$0.00$48.37
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage · RUSTEC0.1410.000$0.00$198.00
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A · MIBR Academy0.1480.000$0.00$1.9k
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$39.99
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs · fnatic0.0400.000$0.00$18.33
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$161.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$80.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$6.00
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A · Lavked0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage · Lavked0.0070.000$0.00$7.00
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs Clutchain Female (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffs · Atrix Esports0.2440.000$0.00$708.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$57.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$97.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 09:35Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group BBUY0.08$80.00
07-30 17:33Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 31?BUY0.003$0.08
07-30 17:30Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 31?BUY0.02$2.22
07-30 17:28Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 31?BUY0.019$1.63
07-30 17:27Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 31?BUY0.018$1.01
07-30 16:37Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.031$2.91
07-30 16:36Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.03$0.30
07-30 16:33Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$0.67
07-30 14:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C on July 30?BUY0.002$0.02
07-30 14:18Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSELL0.03$0.93
07-30 12:15Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.24$993.69
07-29 17:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSELL0.06$3.00
07-29 17:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETBUY0.51$25.50
07-29 16:36Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSELL0.14$5.36
07-29 16:28Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSELL0.24$49.20
Trader Sergio-Marquina · PolyBot