PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4C163466373052f257fe904d13dEd4dbED4CCD90-1781330091071

0x4c163466373052f257fe904d13ded4dbed4ccd90

Realised P&L
$-7.06
Volume
$256.96
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$6.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · Yes0.2570.345$6.71+$1.71
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 10:24Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
06-15 10:24Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-15 10:23Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.77$1.00
06-15 10:23Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-15 10:23Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.71$2.00
06-15 10:22Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-15 10:22Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
06-15 10:22Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
06-15 10:21Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
06-15 10:21Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.16$1.00
06-13 12:57Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? BUY0.2570992311$5.00
06-13 12:46Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.0349999669$1.00
06-13 12:46Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
06-13 12:46Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
06-13 12:46Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2599998648$1.00