xsergb
0x4bb310a7d364943ba1767d95ccaa2e8043749b82
- Realised P&L
- $11.60
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $98.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? · No | 0.961 | 0.963 | $49.09 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.942 | $48.02 | −$1.05 |
| Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season? · No | 0.975 | 0.985 | $1.21 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.27at 0.910Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?
- +$2.37at 0.977Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
- +$1.38at 0.955Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.966Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
- +$0.85at 0.965State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-09 11:18 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.974 | $6.72 |