0xf88824c06fB457254d8f43b4ca6b2E3Db989ECd3-1775498791080
0x4b582a3416aa8e3e154c432d9b758789730332a1
- Realised P&L
- $-8.48
- Volume
- $987.40
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.065 | $2.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.016 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.058 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.005 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.026 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.006 | $0.33 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.76at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET
- +$-9.45at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0843749756 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 14:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.0408499065 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $10.63 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.7174257426 | $14.49 |
| 08-04 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $12.88 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.4564 | $5.71 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |