yumia
0x4b4edd5622ac396d3ddac470a2666d9cb0fc33b6
- Realised P&L
- $343.86
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $50.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $2.20 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.993 | $25.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.975 | $24.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.49at 0.942Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
- +$68.88at 0.920Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?
- +$3.50at 0.930Will Solana reach $210 in May?
- +$1.02at 0.979Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
- +$0.34at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:48 | Will XRP reach $2.20 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $26.00 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.975 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 08:45 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.989 | $14.89 |
| 08-04 08:45 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $16.01 |
| 07-22 02:17 | Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 02:17 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 07-22 02:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999883 | $16.00 |
| 07-22 02:11 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $18.73 |
| 06-24 01:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.70 |
| 06-24 01:43 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 06-24 01:42 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.9979999554 | $19.00 |
| 06-24 01:41 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.985 | $12.24 |
| 06-24 01:40 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.56 |
| 06-24 01:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.06 |
| 05-22 23:26 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9649999984 | $12.00 |