guailing88
0x4b0bed0bbffe1741804770b3cc883c46fded0369
- Realised P&L
- $14.54
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $129.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.249 | 0.170 | $129.34 | −$59.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.02at 0.956Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- +$19.02at 0.890Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$12.46at 0.958Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
- +$12.30at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$7.07at 0.943Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 15:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | SELL | 0.994 | $73.56 |
| 02-28 05:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.86 |
| 01-29 06:40 | Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $61.11 |
| 01-29 06:39 | Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 01-29 06:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.993 | $147.11 |
| 01-22 07:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9713510129 | $69.04 |
| 01-22 07:09 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? | SELL | 0.98 | $65.78 |
| 01-19 09:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9841538462 | $63.97 |
| 12-26 15:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $60.91 |
| 12-26 15:17 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $56.05 |
| 12-06 08:46 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9819999842 | $55.15 |
| 12-06 08:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9829999975 | $60.00 |
| 11-07 10:07 | Will Solana reach $250 in November? | BUY | 0.9676277842 | $13.00 |
| 11-07 10:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November? | BUY | 0.988 | $40.00 |
| 11-07 10:05 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? | BUY | 0.9799999961 | $60.00 |