PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ddfr45

0x4b084adb0978e02eb729a113b7856bd482236d65

Realised P&L
$-228.85
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$12.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.8900.890$12.46+$0.00
Utah vs. Canadiens · Utah0.5000.000$0.00$231.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-22 13:31Will Solana reach $160 in February?BUY0.999$2.13
02-22 13:30Will Solana reach $170 in February?BUY0.999$2.00
02-22 13:30Will Solana reach $180 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-22 13:30Will Solana reach $190 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-22 13:30Will Solana reach $200 in February?BUY0.999$2.00
02-22 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 25?BUY0.999$3.00
02-22 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 25?BUY0.992$3.00
02-22 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 24?BUY0.999$4.00
02-22 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 24?BUY0.999$3.00
02-22 13:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 24?BUY0.99$1.00
11-08 04:16Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.978$25.56
11-08 04:14Utah vs. CanadiensBUY0.5$231.32
11-08 04:10Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.996$53.15
09-28 09:19Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.994$53.04
08-31 08:26Will Solana reach $230 in August?BUY0.994$52.72