0x4a47456b01E1843beFdc03311a7ad6cc8C1fE66c-1777769805069
0x4a47456b01e1843befdc03311a7ad6cc8c1fe66c
- Realised P&L
- $-221.06
- Volume
- $37.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $100.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.195 | $100.93 | −$18.12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 29-July 5? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.73at 0.430Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
- +$220.00at 0.100Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
- +$105.42at 0.389Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$93.64at 0.252Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in June?
- +$73.23at 0.350Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2299999988 | $119.05 |
| 07-28 17:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.02 |
| 07-28 17:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.07 | $96.69 |
| 07-28 17:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | SELL | 0.010857432 | $38.51 |
| 07-28 17:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-27 23:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0173697647 | $47.49 |
| 07-22 13:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.6099999978 | $77.09 |
| 07-18 14:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.3972339277 | $300.00 |
| 07-18 14:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 17:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $36.00 |
| 07-17 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 09:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.46 | $131.43 |
| 07-16 22:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.3499999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 09:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.34 | $113.50 |
| 07-15 23:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | BUY | 0.2995506722 | $100.00 |