PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4a47456b01E1843beFdc03311a7ad6cc8C1fE66c-1777769805069

0x4a47456b01e1843befdc03311a7ad6cc8c1fe66c

Realised P&L
$-221.06
Volume
$37.0k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$100.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · Yes0.2300.195$100.93$18.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$19.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:38Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.2299999988$119.05
07-28 17:55Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.07$0.02
07-28 17:54Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.07$96.69
07-28 17:54Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?SELL0.010857432$38.51
07-28 17:51Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?SELL0.001$0.10
07-27 23:55Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.0173697647$47.49
07-22 13:30Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.6099999978$77.09
07-18 14:23Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.3972339277$300.00
07-18 14:22Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
07-17 17:27Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.16$36.00
07-17 17:12Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.4$200.00
07-17 09:56Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.46$131.43
07-16 22:25Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.3499999986$100.00
07-16 09:45Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.34$113.50
07-15 23:59Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.2995506722$100.00