Levi1515
0x49c3700c3cf883e24799f223cd413f53601df3a9
- Realised P&L
- $-22.07
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $14.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $14.49 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.994Will Only Murders in the Building win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?
- +$0.52at 0.996Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
- +$0.42at 0.997Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
- +$0.27at 0.998Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?
- +$0.27at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:57 | Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.50 |
| 07-28 14:34 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $15.88 |
| 07-22 14:24 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.90 |
| 07-22 11:20 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.995 | $20.06 |
| 07-15 18:25 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.10 |
| 07-04 13:13 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.79 |
| 07-04 13:12 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $23.27 |
| 07-03 01:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.40 |
| 06-26 15:39 | Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.80 |
| 06-25 08:33 | Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.80 |
| 06-18 14:16 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.30 |
| 05-31 08:51 | Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.90 |
| 05-31 08:50 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $11.69 |
| 05-31 08:50 | Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.00 |
| 05-28 05:09 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.70 |