PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

umbai

0x49951b477f583470ae65d06564bab6d000286f26

Realised P&L
$1.64
Volume
$654.97
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$109.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · No0.9970.997$109.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5?BUY0.997$109.00
06-26 10:39Will BNB dip to $300 in June?BUY0.999$9.00
06-26 10:39Will BNB reach $800 in June?BUY0.997$100.00
05-05 09:40Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.995$109.00
04-02 12:18Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$18.88
04-02 12:18Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.998$29.99
04-02 12:18Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.998$39.99
04-02 12:18Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.998$20.00
03-07 09:39Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?BUY0.999$108.78
02-22 01:18Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?BUY0.9959999959$108.35