0x497f97a246185eae0c209275e30a197388a673d5
- Realised P&L
- $24.72
- Volume
- $90.34
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $29.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar27.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No | 0.115 | 1.000 | $19.05 | +$16.86 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No | 0.590 | 1.000 | $3.42 | +$1.40 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No | 0.590 | 1.000 | $3.42 | +$1.40 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.580 | 0.545 | $1.90 | −$0.12 |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $1.31 | −$0.76 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $0.77 | −$0.14 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.02 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 03:23 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.09 |
| 05-10 03:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.58 | $2.02 |
| 05-10 03:23 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.02 |
| 05-09 23:20 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.02 |
| 05-09 23:20 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.61 | $2.02 |
| 05-09 23:20 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.10 |
| 05-09 23:19 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.07 |
| 05-09 23:16 | Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.91 |