richwang948
0x4901d8caca4dfdcaf0b51a1987b78f866a898832
- Realised P&L
- $440.30
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $110.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No | 0.583 | 0.625 | $68.25 | +$4.58 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.650 | 0.465 | $24.62 | −$9.82 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.409 | 0.325 | $14.98 | −$3.85 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.300 | 0.150 | $2.81 | −$2.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$410.00at 0.180Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
- +$149.86at 0.055LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner
- +$71.00at 0.015LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner
- +$52.71at 0.110Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?
- +$41.48at 0.330Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:23 | New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 05-09 07:35 | Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.20 |
| 04-28 10:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | SELL | 0.23 | $69.00 |
| 04-28 10:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | SELL | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 04-20 16:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.0329613844 | $4.11 |
| 04-20 16:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | SELL | 0.117 | $35.10 |
| 04-20 16:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | SELL | 0.088 | $26.40 |
| 04-20 16:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.039 | $10.73 |
| 04-14 18:58 | Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.0693809408 | $5.69 |
| 04-14 18:56 | Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.28 | $32.97 |
| 04-14 18:56 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04? | SELL | 0.24 | $40.28 |
| 04-07 15:52 | Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.427 | $2.63 |
| 04-07 15:52 | Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.24 | $2.56 |
| 04-07 15:50 | Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-22? | SELL | 0.32 | $15.85 |
| 03-17 08:20 | Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.979 | $5.46 |