PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x48e94e6f52562a95ee70939b3ba3a411734ef0f9

Realised P&L
$-486.54
Volume
$530.3k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$1.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0620.017$1.32$3.64
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.53
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$9.02
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10? · No0.3500.000$0.00$9.08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0050.000$0.00$0.91
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$13.33
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$88.66
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.70
Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? · Yes0.3250.000$0.00$21.89
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$13.88
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$0.27
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$6.81
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? · Yes0.3630.000$0.00$22.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-25 18:29US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.16$9.24
03-12 23:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$0.91
03-12 23:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.33
03-12 21:30US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.019$1.03
03-12 21:21US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL0.0409998216$9.10
03-12 21:03US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL0.017$3.74
03-12 20:55US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.0183829787$0.99
03-12 19:31Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?BUY0.06$1.08
03-12 19:31Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?BUY0.04$4.70
03-12 19:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$0.67
03-12 19:04US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL0.019$5.17
03-11 17:34Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.001$1.33
03-11 17:28Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.33
03-11 17:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.33
03-11 17:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.33