0x48e94e6f52562a95ee70939b3ba3a411734ef0f9
- Realised P&L
- $-486.54
- Volume
- $530.3k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $1.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.89at 0.290Trail Blazers vs. Wizards
- +$65.19at 0.140US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$57.87at 0.457Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
- +$51.14at 0.125US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$46.46at 0.291Bulls vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 18:29 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.24 |
| 03-12 23:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.91 |
| 03-12 23:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.33 |
| 03-12 21:30 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.03 |
| 03-12 21:21 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | SELL | 0.0409998216 | $9.10 |
| 03-12 21:03 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.74 |
| 03-12 20:55 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.0183829787 | $0.99 |
| 03-12 19:31 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.08 |
| 03-12 19:31 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.70 |
| 03-12 19:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 03-12 19:04 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | SELL | 0.019 | $5.17 |
| 03-11 17:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.33 |
| 03-11 17:28 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.33 |
| 03-11 17:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.33 |
| 03-11 17:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.33 |