loafy
0x48b7e95cef1270aa22760d069f8f0fe14be5f103
- Realised P&L
- $13.2k
- Volume
- $275.1k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $12.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.663Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$1.5kat 0.670Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.631Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.365US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$935.90at 0.406Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.076 | $4.78 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.406 | $81.20 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.379 | $8.10 |
| 07-18 20:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $816.50 |
| 07-14 22:47 | Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.3999888408 | $257.72 |
| 07-14 22:38 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $13.33 |
| 07-14 22:37 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.5494681856 | $321.24 |
| 07-14 22:36 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.549 | $2.75 |
| 07-14 22:29 | Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $751.34 |
| 07-14 08:07 | Will Keir Starmer be in the Burnham cabinet? | BUY | 0.981 | $115.27 |
| 07-14 08:07 | Will Keir Starmer be in the Burnham cabinet? | BUY | 0.98 | $66.15 |
| 07-14 08:07 | Will Keir Starmer be in the Burnham cabinet? | BUY | 0.973 | $14.59 |
| 07-13 21:04 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.7192545991 | $482.46 |
| 07-13 21:04 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.71 | $39.05 |