nokks
0x488ed7ab3e6454ed0d8d8c7f080c87614b9a357e
- Realised P&L
- $28.64
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $14.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.175 | $14.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Corners · Over | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.96 |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.14at 0.740Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$22.46at 0.690Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$19.51at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$14.17at 0.779Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$12.82at 0.660Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 23:55 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 18:16 | France vs. England: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 13:48 | France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 13:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9399999865 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 14:37 | US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 22:28 | Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Corners | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 15:41 | Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 15:30 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.96 | $30.00 |
| 07-04 15:29 | Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5 Corners | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 00:54 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 11:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 11:01 | Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 01:29 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.667499996 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 20:36 | Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.4 | $6.28 |
| 07-02 20:35 | Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.57 | $5.31 |