adepo
0x483a4ca1772bd976c5ed3694a7d682154f835c3f
- Realised P&L
- $-375.05
- Volume
- $58.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes | 0.651 | 0.003 | $1.50 | −$324.04 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.37 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.569AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
- +$347.81at 0.764Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?
- +$305.16at 0.913Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$290.08at 0.482AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
- +$262.20at 0.700Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-18 16:33 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2583040308 | $456.91 |
| 01-18 04:48 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $713.12 |
| 01-17 16:17 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $242.50 |
| 01-17 05:50 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $278.41 |
| 01-17 00:28 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $190.20 |
| 01-17 00:26 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2562284 | $512.46 |
| 01-16 19:36 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2475674806 | $146.20 |
| 01-16 19:35 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.6510792 | $325.54 |
| 07-27 23:15 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.944920565 | $1.9k |
| 07-27 23:13 | Zuckerberg divorce in 2025? | SELL | 0.04 | $166.70 |
| 07-27 23:13 | Zuckerberg divorce in 2025? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.06 |
| 07-27 23:12 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025? | SELL | 0.8369504564 | $338.37 |
| 06-15 02:39 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.219 | $2.39 |
| 04-23 03:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April? | SELL | 0.65 | $12.35 |
| 04-21 11:59 | New Pope in 2025? | SELL | 0.993 | $147.15 |