PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

adepo

0x483a4ca1772bd976c5ed3694a7d682154f835c3f

Realised P&L
$-375.05
Volume
$58.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.6510.003$1.50$324.04
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00$320.37
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00$2.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-18 16:33Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.2583040308$456.91
01-18 04:48Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.26$713.12
01-17 16:17Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.26$242.50
01-17 05:50Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.26$278.41
01-17 00:28Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.26$190.20
01-17 00:26Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.2562284$512.46
01-16 19:36Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY0.2475674806$146.20
01-16 19:35Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.6510792$325.54
07-27 23:15Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.944920565$1.9k
07-27 23:13Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?SELL0.04$166.70
07-27 23:13Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?SELL0.05$5.06
07-27 23:12AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?SELL0.8369504564$338.37
06-15 02:39Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?BUY0.219$2.39
04-23 03:50Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April?SELL0.65$12.35
04-21 11:59New Pope in 2025?SELL0.993$147.15