PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x47bDc15fc71a5dCd16E88ABA8193Cb9bF9d6E956-1760366591638

0x47bdc15fc71a5dcd16e88aba8193cb9bf9d6e956

Realised P&L
$116.13
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$14.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.080$14.40$19.86
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00$4.00
Another US military action against Iran before 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$2.00
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.00
Israel strikes Iran by October 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$3.00
Will the US strike Iraq next? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.00
US strikes Iran by October 31? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.00
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-04 09:36Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL0.84$21.00
02-04 09:35Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.81$40.50
02-03 16:08Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL0.82$39.73
01-26 07:58Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?BUY0.5$12.05
01-23 20:09Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.58$29.00
01-23 18:34Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL0.76$3.98
01-23 18:31Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL0.77$19.00
01-21 07:57Will the US strike Iraq next?BUY0.008$1.00
01-20 11:04Will the US strike Iraq next?BUY0.0120000002$1.00
01-17 23:39US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.74$41.24
01-16 08:27Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL0.7516666667$22.55
01-11 18:14US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.6099999851$34.00
01-11 18:09Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?BUY0.52$21.84
01-11 14:08Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?BUY0.54$10.80
01-05 13:00Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?BUY0.144612$14.46