shkgi
0x4787992f98a18e3bd688f215a68c30f4acd86de9
- Realised P&L
- $-106.95
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $58.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.550 | 0.545 | $58.11 | −$0.53 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.99 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.90 |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes · Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.69 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$139.73 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.81 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.502 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.72 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.25 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.24 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$317.55 |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights · Hurricanes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.77 |
| UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card) · Robert Bryczek | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.46at 0.610Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
- +$265.96at 0.820LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$147.75at 0.390Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$137.64at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
- +$136.57at 0.450Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 06:52 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.53 | $65.08 |
| 06-30 03:07 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.44 | $63.25 |
| 06-23 02:38 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.49 | $61.19 |
| 06-17 07:23 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.52 | $86.24 |
| 06-12 06:08 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.47 | $61.90 |
| 05-27 06:29 | Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.55 | $116.19 |
| 05-22 06:30 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.58 | $182.97 |
| 05-13 08:45 | Wild vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.67 | $33.37 |
| 05-13 08:43 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.39 | $94.47 |
| 04-29 08:44 | UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4 | $143.38 |
| 04-27 07:46 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.51 | $107.92 |
| 04-23 06:44 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.46 | $110.54 |
| 04-17 02:26 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.45 | $108.05 |
| 04-13 03:28 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.38 | $137.08 |
| 04-03 09:55 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | BUY | 0.45 | $16.04 |