r576fgy8uh
0x473f46349297edb4bf3534f7e24f83ed3e19dd45
- Realised P&L
- $-272.68
- Volume
- $159.6k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $49.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $18.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.996 | $16.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $15.02 | +$0.02 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.83 |
| Nets vs. Clippers · Nets | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 12? · No | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Raptors vs. Heat · Heat | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.80 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? · No | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.38at 0.511Solana Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET
- +$8.18at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET
- +$6.36at 0.650Rams vs. Seahawks
- +$4.44at 0.730XRP Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET
- +$4.31at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.00 |
| 08-03 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $16.00 |
| 08-03 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 05:28 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999992 | $13.00 |
| 07-15 05:28 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9699999986 | $14.00 |
| 07-15 05:28 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 07-14 05:57 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7889999983 | $52.59 |
| 06-29 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 06:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 06:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.9909999994 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 06:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 06:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 02:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.169 | $594.88 |