PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

r576fgy8uh

0x473f46349297edb4bf3534f7e24f83ed3e19dd45

Realised P&L
$-272.68
Volume
$159.6k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$49.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6? · No0.9990.997$18.95$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5? · Yes0.9950.996$16.01+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? · Yes0.9981.000$15.02+$0.02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.7000.000$0.00$20.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 12? · No0.9800.000$0.00$66.83
Nets vs. Clippers · Nets0.2100.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 12? · No0.8500.000$0.00$20.00
Raptors vs. Heat · Heat0.7000.000$0.00$23.99
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$16.80
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? · No0.0510.000$0.00$49.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$19.00
08-03 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5?BUY0.995$16.00
08-03 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?BUY0.998$15.00
07-15 05:28Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9869999992$13.00
07-15 05:28Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9699999986$14.00
07-15 05:28Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.999$13.00
07-14 05:57Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7889999983$52.59
06-29 06:30Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 2?BUY0.996$5.00
06-29 06:30Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 1?BUY0.999$5.00
06-29 06:30Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 30?BUY0.9989998012$5.00
06-29 06:30Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 29?BUY0.998$5.00
06-29 06:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 2?BUY0.9909999994$5.00
06-29 06:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 1?BUY0.9929999988$5.00
06-29 06:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29?BUY0.9989998012$5.00
06-12 02:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.169$594.88