PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

laohuu

0x473e5ad3d8790c6d89e6079f0c0d3759a3b3e47d

Realised P&L
$-50.66
Volume
$28.6k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$103.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4? · No0.9991.000$25.99+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5? · No0.9991.000$22.99+$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 6? · No0.9980.994$19.88$0.08
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.9990.999$18.28$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 7? · No0.9980.996$15.93$0.04
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00$0.20
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 17? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:31Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.999$18.29
08-03 03:31Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 7?BUY0.998$15.97
08-03 03:30Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 6?BUY0.998$19.96
08-03 03:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5?BUY0.999$22.98
08-03 03:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4?BUY0.999$25.97
07-04 11:30Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?BUY0.998$17.13
07-04 11:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 6?BUY0.999$18.98
07-04 11:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on July 5?BUY0.999$19.98
07-04 11:29Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on July 6?BUY0.999$21.98
07-04 11:28Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 5?BUY0.999$24.98
06-21 09:26Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 22?BUY0.999$17.98
06-21 09:25Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 22?BUY0.999$17.98
06-21 09:24Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on June 21?BUY0.999$24.98
06-21 09:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?BUY0.999$19.98
06-21 09:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 22?BUY0.999$21.98