laohuu
0x473e5ad3d8790c6d89e6079f0c0d3759a3b3e47d
- Realised P&L
- $-50.66
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $103.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $25.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $22.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 6? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $19.88 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $18.28 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 7? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $15.93 | −$0.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 17? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.30at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?
- +$48.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?
- +$44.49at 0.055Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?
- +$24.92at 0.113Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?
- +$24.55at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:31 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.29 |
| 08-03 03:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.97 |
| 08-03 03:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-03 03:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 08-03 03:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.97 |
| 07-04 11:30 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.13 |
| 07-04 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 07-04 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or below on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-04 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on July 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 07-04 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 06-21 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 06-21 09:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on June 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 06-21 09:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on June 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 06-21 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 06-21 09:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |