Miracle007
0x4728d8377019661b41a2fdca0da55c1dd1e06426
- Realised P&L
- $-3.9k
- Volume
- $2.85M
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $133.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.2kat 0.892Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$9.9kat 0.080US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$8.8kat 0.975No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$8.7kat 0.535Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$7.3kat 0.855Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 22:13 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.4k |
| 06-19 12:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.9 | $30.1k |
| 06-19 05:47 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.957 | $2.3k |
| 06-19 05:47 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.954 | $667.80 |
| 06-18 17:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.3k |
| 06-17 00:52 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.1k |
| 06-17 00:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.2k |
| 06-16 18:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.3k |
| 06-16 16:07 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18? | BUY | 0.81 | $810.15 |
| 06-16 12:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.41 | $88.97 |
| 06-16 10:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $457.40 |
| 06-16 10:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.0k |
| 06-15 19:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.3k |
| 06-15 01:01 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $624.00 |
| 06-15 00:55 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.6k |