0x46fc237a86aa31ccA92B9673F8F1ADDE8836d070-1782723418795
0x46fc237a86aa31cca92b9673f8f1adde8836d070
- Realised P&L
- $-80.71
- Volume
- $497.70
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $14.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.685 | $14.73 | +$4.62 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.13 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.44 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.08 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will Erling Haaland score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.552 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.01at 0.270Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$-6.75at 0.570Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-10.00at 0.081Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:14 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3 | $7.50 |
| 07-13 06:40 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5525 | $11.05 |
| 07-13 06:39 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.57 | $14.25 |
| 07-12 16:34 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 07-12 16:33 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.08 |
| 07-11 06:53 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.43 |
| 07-11 06:40 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.371 | $11.13 |
| 07-11 06:38 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.99 |
| 07-11 06:30 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 06:27 | Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.0813118732 | $10.00 |