PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Guoshengqin

0x46fa17d95ffac57f9e919369ad964d0d74be949d

Realised P&L
$-45.84
Volume
$50.1k
Markets traded
354
Open portfolio
$1.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded354
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration2.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bucks vs. Clippers · Bucks0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Pistons vs. Raptors · Raptors0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Pelicans vs. Rockets · Pelicans0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Jazz vs. Grizzlies · Jazz0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bulls vs. Lakers · Bulls0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Nets vs. Magic · Nets0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Suns vs. Bucks · Bucks0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:52Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-03 01:52Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-03 01:52Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-01 12:56Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 2?BUY0.001$1.00
05-27 12:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 28?BUY0.001$1.00
05-27 12:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 28?BUY0.001$1.00
05-27 12:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 28?BUY0.001$1.00
05-27 12:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 28?BUY0.001$1.00
05-27 12:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on May 28?BUY0.001$1.00
05-26 13:54Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-26 13:54Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-26 13:54Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-26 13:53Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-26 13:53Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-26 13:53Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00