Guoshengqin
0x46fa17d95ffac57f9e919369ad964d0d74be949d
- Realised P&L
- $-45.84
- Volume
- $50.1k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 2? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bucks vs. Clippers · Bucks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Pistons vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Rockets · Pelicans | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies · Jazz | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bulls vs. Lakers · Bulls | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Nets vs. Magic · Nets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Suns vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.500Lakers vs. Wizards
- +$24.95at 0.500Clippers vs. Kings
- +$24.95at 0.500Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
- +$17.46at 0.500Rockets vs. Pacers
- +$16.47at 0.500Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:52 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:52 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on July 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on May 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |