pepepopo420
0x46d45a9f37715067f43b7c6c5f0b8f94144fab12
- Realised P&L
- $93.28
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Markets traded
- 563
- Open portfolio
- $8.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded563
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Atlante FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.240 | $7.28 | −$1.72 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.045 | $0.73 | −$4.79 |
| Will Minnesota United FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.99 |
| Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.99 |
| Will Llaneros FC vs. Fortaleza CEIF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Will CD Tolima vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.84 |
| Will Thor Akureyri vs. Breidablik Kopavogur end in a draw? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.32at 0.343Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-07-18?
- +$277.52at 0.196FK Bodø/Glimt leading at halftime?
- +$250.88at 0.017Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-07-18?
- +$237.23at 0.216Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-07-26?
- +$144.88at 0.313Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:25 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Atlante FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 03:21 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Atlante FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 03:20 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.3399998703 | $1.52 |
| 08-05 03:20 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 01:26 | Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 01:26 | Will Minnesota United FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 01:21 | Will Minnesota United FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 01:21 | Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.2699999656 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 01:06 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.6499999878 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 00:29 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.92 |
| 08-05 00:29 | Will CD Tolima vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999724 | $5.84 |
| 08-04 23:52 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.43 |
| 08-04 23:51 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 23:31 | Will CD Tolima vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 23:15 | Will Deportivo Tachira win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.582715994 | $4.00 |