PolyBot

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Traders

0x46cb63e89dfa29b11030ec75c863d3beca59cdb8

Realised P&L
$-290.36
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
184
Open portfolio
$3.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded184
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? · Yes0.9500.969$3.94+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 15:25Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?SELL0.999$1.28
08-02 18:49Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?BUY0.95$1.22
08-02 11:17Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.998$1.27
08-01 16:54Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.96$1.22
08-01 01:32US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.998$3.15
07-27 21:03US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.95$3.01
07-22 14:12Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.96$2.98
07-17 21:21US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?SELL0.999$2.53
07-14 05:00Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?SELL0.998$2.48
07-13 19:28Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?BUY0.9599997878$1.81
07-13 15:13US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?BUY0.95$2.41
07-11 03:23Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?SELL0.998$2.48
07-09 02:13Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?BUY0.96$2.39
07-08 05:29Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?SELL0.999$2.48
07-04 06:25Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?BUY0.9499997786$2.36