Stringbeanpicks
0x46b26df20d5b20d019182c7d27e6e7387a04b505
- Realised P&L
- $13.95
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $41.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.185 | $16.82 | −$33.18 |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.255 | $14.17 | +$4.17 |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.180 | $10.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.91at 0.110Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$42.34at 0.371Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$16.25at 0.400Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$11.67at 0.300Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$7.04at 0.815Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 12:00 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.1299999781 | $4.86 |
| 04-27 23:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.14 |
| 04-27 13:02 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 04-20 04:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $8.76 |
| 04-19 02:15 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.2718446555 | $40.00 |
| 04-09 06:13 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999895 | $50.00 |
| 03-15 13:07 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | SELL | 0.53 | $66.25 |
| 03-15 07:50 | Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 07:49 | Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 02-22 07:59 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 01-21 12:47 | Patriots vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.6899999843 | $11.00 |
| 01-21 12:38 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | BUY | 0.814999998 | $31.00 |
| 01-18 07:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BUY | 0.1499999891 | $11.00 |
| 01-18 07:27 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0371692161 | $15.00 |
| 01-18 07:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.3712387573 | $25.00 |