anon.1980.123
0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c
- Realised P&L
- $53.5k
- Volume
- $28.14M
- Markets traded
- 5,426
- Open portfolio
- $133.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,426
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.5kat 0.861Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
- +$16.5kat 0.760Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$13.7kat 0.831Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$11.0kat 0.892US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$9.7kat 0.811Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9541085619 | $263.66 |
| 08-02 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9853938113 | $312.40 |
| 08-02 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.991 | $42.68 |
| 08-02 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9872476838 | $127.87 |
| 08-02 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $134.64 |
| 08-02 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $189.07 |
| 08-02 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.28 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9888963025 | $106.71 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9838987342 | $194.32 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9685818735 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9839302135 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.9887895776 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9759459459 | $36.11 |
| 08-02 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9841189427 | $446.79 |