VINTELSZ
0x468d38d0f04945e73b023d6d357b1490071c1763
- Realised P&L
- $-237.07
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $4.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.011 | $3.81 | −$6.19 |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.105 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up | 0.501 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.67 |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.42 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.13at 0.240Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$10.64at 0.615Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$7.08at 0.586Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$2.47at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$1.94at 0.720Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $26.57 |
| 07-17 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9397443879 | $25.00 |
| 07-16 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 11:35 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0799431374 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 11:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 04:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999872 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 15:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.174 | $0.91 |
| 07-11 09:27 | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.139999993 | $16.42 |
| 07-10 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |