PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x468287873e1F300cCebc6da5767b3717d7473900-1771185430756

0x468287873e1f300ccebc6da5767b3717d7473900

Realised P&L
$1.69
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$15.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No0.9980.998$15.96$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 09:21Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.004$7.64
06-23 09:58Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$7.56
05-19 09:11Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.006$9.66
05-13 07:59Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.005$9.45
04-24 09:53Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$9.90
04-23 06:23Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.009$10.08
04-22 06:54Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$10.00
04-21 06:26Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$9.87
04-20 03:33Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.16
03-23 03:44Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.966$603.75