0x468287873e1F300cCebc6da5767b3717d7473900-1771185430756
0x468287873e1f300ccebc6da5767b3717d7473900
- Realised P&L
- $1.69
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $15.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $15.96 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.964Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.10at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on February 19?
- +$0.04at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 2?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 09:21 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.64 |
| 06-23 09:58 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.56 |
| 05-19 09:11 | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.66 |
| 05-13 07:59 | Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.45 |
| 04-24 09:53 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.90 |
| 04-23 06:23 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.08 |
| 04-22 06:54 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 06:26 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.87 |
| 04-20 03:33 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 03-23 03:44 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.966 | $603.75 |