0x46763EfE923365323210a6aD2C01dAbCF15d6065-1772195585541
0x46763efe923365323210a6ad2c01dabcf15d6065
- Realised P&L
- $-806.31
- Volume
- $23.8k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $229.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.99at 0.382Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
- +$143.78at 0.373Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$86.17at 0.537Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?
- +$63.77at 0.046Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$43.71at 0.530Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 20:44 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 07-08 20:50 | Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.1450728005 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 20:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $19.35 |
| 07-06 19:11 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 19:08 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.26 | $38.71 |
| 06-29 19:08 | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | BUY | 0.05 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 09:52 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.6690558698 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 09:50 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.6227191649 | $50.00 |
| 06-18 14:49 | Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999968 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 17:14 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2427099587 | $78.77 |
| 06-14 21:25 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 03:01 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 06-07 18:00 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0462186553 | $15.00 |
| 06-07 16:12 | Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | BUY | 0.0398798818 | $15.00 |
| 05-31 13:03 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1214272352 | $50.00 |