PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x46763EfE923365323210a6aD2C01dAbCF15d6065-1772195585541

0x46763efe923365323210a6ad2c01dabcf15d6065

Realised P&L
$-806.31
Volume
$23.8k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$229.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · Yes0.6350.385$121.23$78.77
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.5200.330$31.73$18.27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1210.065$26.76$23.23
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · Yes0.2200.105$23.86$26.14
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1830.082$13.38$16.62
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1450.039$5.38$14.62
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · Yes0.0400.010$3.76$11.24
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0410.004$2.56$27.44
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.1210.002$0.99$79.01
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$40.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2? · No0.7200.000$0.00$50.00
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$58.71
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 20:44Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.5199999958$50.00
07-08 20:50Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?BUY0.1450728005$20.00
07-07 20:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.12$19.35
07-06 19:11Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2599999935$20.00
07-06 19:08Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.26$38.71
06-29 19:08Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?BUY0.05$50.00
06-24 09:52Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.6690558698$50.00
06-24 09:50Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.6227191649$50.00
06-18 14:49Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?BUY0.2199999968$50.00
06-17 17:14Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2427099587$78.77
06-14 21:25Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.05$10.00
06-08 03:01Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4699999982$50.00
06-07 18:00Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0462186553$15.00
06-07 16:12Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?BUY0.0398798818$15.00
05-31 13:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1214272352$50.00