rednalooz123
0x4606e5aed28fa8ea5bd4493e8887c3a26f03f3ce
- Realised P&L
- $-422.18
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $82.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.93at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$96.53at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$72.33at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$33.03at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$24.37at 0.544Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.43 |
| 08-04 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.5799999602 | $4.96 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.96 | $8.38 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.1724339378 | $4.81 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5099999763 | $4.94 |
| 08-04 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.94 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4899999732 | $4.93 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4250654112 | $4.91 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4899999732 | $4.93 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $4.98 |
| 08-04 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.47 |
| 08-04 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.31 |
| 08-04 00:55 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.98 |
| 08-04 00:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.5399999891 | $4.95 |