0x45E283B93cd401A5706de4f6f5691AA7C1C27261-1782402815469
0x45e283b93cd401a5706de4f6f5691aa7c1c27261
- Realised P&L
- $284.57
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $689.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.08at 0.039Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$68.35at 0.080US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$35.71at 0.350Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$14.10at 0.780UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$3.82at 0.978Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9989997344 | $1.58 |
| 08-04 18:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.46 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 16:22 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.01 |
| 08-04 16:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0309999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.045 | $33.35 |
| 08-04 15:01 | Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9809999993 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 14:49 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 14:46 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 14:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0322341161 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 14:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0320796964 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 13:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.051 | $8.66 |
| 08-04 13:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.0549190848 | $2.95 |