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0x45E283B93cd401A5706de4f6f5691AA7C1C27261-1782402815469

0x45e283b93cd401a5706de4f6f5691aa7c1c27261

Realised P&L
$284.57
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$689.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.9980.998$131.97$0.04
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9760.978$100.23+$0.23
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9600.955$99.48$0.52
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9400.935$78.15$0.42
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9690.978$69.64+$0.61
Trump out as President by August 31? · No0.9910.992$50.03+$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? · Yes0.0320.032$48.98$1.02
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.9810.977$24.89$0.11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.9500.965$24.57+$0.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0310.028$22.58$2.42
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1100.085$19.32$5.68
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.3000.190$15.83$9.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9990.999$1.58$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0470.032$1.49$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9989997344$1.58
08-04 18:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.043$1.46
08-04 18:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.043$0.21
08-04 16:22Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.998$7.01
08-04 16:17Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?BUY0.0309999988$25.00
08-04 16:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.045$33.35
08-04 15:01Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.9809999993$25.00
08-04 14:53Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.998$25.00
08-04 14:51Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.998$25.00
08-04 14:49Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.998$25.00
08-04 14:46Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.998$25.00
08-04 14:03Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0322341161$25.00
08-04 14:02Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?BUY0.0320796964$25.00
08-04 13:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.051$8.66
08-04 13:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.0549190848$2.95