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0x45E1aFFa5fdD7815CDc873ceB8E72200F3ddd7F6-1761352739379

0x45e1affa5fdd7815cdc873ceb8e72200f3ddd7f6

Realised P&L
$-114.47
Volume
$767.28
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$18.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.8700.993$18.26+$2.26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$64.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.40
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$9.50
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$19.14
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$33.50
US forces in Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-28 03:12US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY0.32$64.00
01-16 21:00US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.27$5.40
01-15 00:41Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?BUY0.095$8.55
01-15 00:40Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.6899999995$15.00
01-10 15:01Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.198019802$5.00
01-10 15:01Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?BUY0.3175471698$16.83
01-09 14:59U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?BUY0.999$116.88
01-08 00:48Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.87$16.00
01-06 00:04Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?BUY0.94$18.80
01-06 00:03U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?BUY0.57$8.02
10-25 17:30US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?BUY0.67$33.50
10-25 17:30US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?BUY0.9$9.00
10-25 10:22US forces in Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.25$5.00
10-25 10:20Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.2399999674$5.00