PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x45D3339d705d63eEbfF0D2D1eb1c2Fd5bb55eDa0-1769522480771

0x45d3339d705d63eebff0d2d1eb1c2fd5bb55eda0

Realised P&L
$-182.09
Volume
$62.7k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$706.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9931.000$629.68+$4.09
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? · No0.9420.982$49.10+$2.00
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 2, 2026? · No0.9500.981$9.80+$0.30
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9500.968$9.68+$0.17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.3510.843$8.43+$4.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$16.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00$19.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.5290.000$0.00$0.98
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5610.000$0.00$1.2k
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score · No0.9600.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$9.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:59Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?SELL0.55$5.50
08-02 23:26Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?BUY0.62$12.40
08-02 20:23Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?BUY0.93$18.60
08-02 20:22Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?BUY0.95$9.50
08-02 20:22Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00
07-29 23:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.935$4.78
07-29 22:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.889$17.78
07-29 21:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.9639999978$100.00
07-29 11:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.613$67.43
07-29 11:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.778$77.80
07-27 21:38Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?BUY0.969$14.53
07-27 10:47Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.988$14.81
07-27 10:45Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.988$14.81
07-27 10:44Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?BUY0.987$88.83
07-27 10:44Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?BUY0.954$47.27