betisabeautifulpain
0x45c39de23d88bc3ccfa9517cdb86d95e63fbd5d9
- Realised P&L
- $-308.77
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,700
- Open portfolio
- $5.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,700
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.02at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$55.03at 0.423Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$39.72at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$37.54at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$32.97at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.09 |
| 08-04 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.81 |
| 08-04 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.3599999339 | $3.05 |
| 08-04 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.3499999335 | $2.37 |
| 08-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.16 |
| 08-04 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6299999481 | $2.43 |
| 08-04 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7899998834 | $6.64 |
| 08-04 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.18 |
| 08-04 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.19 |
| 08-04 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.781821917 | $4.78 |
| 08-04 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.674312942 | $5.98 |
| 08-04 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6499998908 | $1.19 |
| 08-04 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.98 | $14.63 |
| 08-04 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3279998063 | $1.07 |