Marcus2
0x45bbe35327131242dbc56953a067628daf13addf
- Realised P&L
- $-5.58
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.935 | $2.87 | −$0.05 |
| Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.63at 0.320XRP Up or Down - February 18, 10PM ET
- +$4.43at 0.530St. John's Red Storm vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
- +$1.70at 0.370Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
- +$0.66at 0.601Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.41at 0.710Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-23 05:20 | Solana Up or Down - February 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.719999856 | $0.98 |
| 02-23 05:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $0.97 |
| 02-23 04:23 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.6009999447 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 18:49 | Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 18:08 | Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 11:52 | Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.12 |
| 02-22 11:52 | Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | SELL | 0.93241 | $1.86 |
| 02-22 11:52 | Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | SELL | 0.964 | $4.99 |
| 02-22 11:51 | Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.05 |
| 02-22 08:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $0.98 |
| 02-22 08:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $0.98 |
| 02-20 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $0.98 |
| 02-19 07:44 | New Delhi: Michael Geerts vs Daniel Michalski | BUY | 0.3536901384 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 07:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $4.97 |
| 02-19 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0099999998 | $5.00 |