0x455d944727a485cb5ea031895b9f8e1c79266011
- Realised P&L
- $-80.03
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $114.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NEC win on 2026-08-04? · No | 0.850 | 0.845 | $92.70 | −$0.55 |
| Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.690 | 0.685 | $22.28 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.12at 0.460Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$92.99at 0.520England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$75.44at 0.570Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?
- +$51.52at 0.660Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?
- +$41.09at 0.430Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:52 | Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.6899999932 | $22.44 |
| 08-03 15:39 | Will NEC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.85 | $93.25 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.8899999997 | $110.65 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.04 | $9.65 |
| 07-19 16:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999988 | $130.32 |
| 07-18 22:50 | France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 22:35 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.463 | $20.85 |
| 07-18 22:28 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.221999983 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:22 | France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | SELL | 0.6011779575 | $118.91 |
| 07-18 08:45 | France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.4089888997 | $80.90 |
| 07-15 04:34 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.74 |
| 07-14 20:21 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.11 | $22.05 |
| 07-14 11:40 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999999 | $119.79 |
| 07-12 00:22 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4599999993 | $96.36 |
| 07-11 23:21 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1449999874 | $9.00 |