borja13
0x454c8364b06d56df31531b1fc5bc083f5c1ebd22
- Realised P&L
- $30.3k
- Volume
- $19.83M
- Markets traded
- 367
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded367
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.023Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.7kat 0.024Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.008Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.5kat 0.092Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.1kat 0.017Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 18:12 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $69.57 |
| 07-30 18:34 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.294 | $97.90 |
| 07-27 18:29 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.034 | $67.04 |
| 07-26 18:35 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.087 | $458.49 |
| 07-25 18:48 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.308 | $48.97 |
| 07-23 12:54 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.033 | $95.30 |
| 07-20 15:12 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.011 | $15.67 |
| 07-19 17:45 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.075 | $241.50 |
| 07-19 17:25 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.075 | $88.38 |
| 07-19 16:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.412 | $411.60 |
| 07-19 07:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $1.1k |
| 07-19 03:30 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.081 | $8.47 |
| 07-18 15:55 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $16.57 |
| 07-18 07:09 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.071 | $101.94 |
| 07-18 07:08 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.071 | $23.41 |