PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4508E8435B520d5Cb90943D459BF8D6EAD15774B-1779074251444

0x4508e8435b520d5cb90943d459bf8d6ead15774b

Realised P&L
$-77.33
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$245.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.9580.979$245.78+$5.20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$147.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 21:04Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9578183445$240.59
07-14 20:24Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04281133$42.81
07-14 20:01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.209$104.50
06-28 15:20Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9891883217$315.26
05-31 18:13Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8699999998$277.28
05-18 08:14Iran closes its airspace by May 18?SELL0.0246602969$276.98
05-18 04:07Iran closes its airspace by May 18?BUY0.0288960842$165.00
05-18 03:29Iran closes its airspace by May 18?BUY0.029701177$164.00