0x4508E8435B520d5Cb90943D459BF8D6EAD15774B-1779074251444
0x4508e8435b520d5cb90943d459bf8d6ead15774b
- Realised P&L
- $-77.33
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $245.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.958 | 0.979 | $245.78 | +$5.20 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.82at 0.600Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$37.99at 0.870Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$-52.01at 0.029Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:04 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9578183445 | $240.59 |
| 07-14 20:24 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04281133 | $42.81 |
| 07-14 20:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209 | $104.50 |
| 06-28 15:20 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9891883217 | $315.26 |
| 05-31 18:13 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999998 | $277.28 |
| 05-18 08:14 | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | SELL | 0.0246602969 | $276.98 |
| 05-18 04:07 | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | BUY | 0.0288960842 | $165.00 |
| 05-18 03:29 | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | BUY | 0.029701177 | $164.00 |